Questions

General Subscription Questions

What is your refund policy?
What is your cancellation policy?
What is your renewal policy?
I am having trouble logging in.
I am not receiving my CycleProphet emails.

Home Page

I am on the Home Page. Where should I start?

Market Forecaster

What do the different lines mean on the forecast charts?
Since you have the forecasting tools, why do I need to look at the technicals and fundamentals of a stock? Shouldn't these forecasts be enough?
How accurate are the forecasts?
Why have you used ETFs instead of the actual indexes?

Equity Forecaster

Where are the equity forecasts?

Equity Screener

I have screened for stocks and ETFs using my criteria. The result comes back alphabetically. How do I find the highest scoring stocks and ETFs from my list?

Stock Analyzer

How does a stock make the "Top 100" Stocks?
How do you determine the scores of stocks?
When I look at an individual stock, what is the "Expected Move"?
Why is the stop loss showing a lower price than just subtracting the Expected Move from Friday's closing price?
In the section labeled "Demand Fundamentals", what does the term "Relative PE Ranking" mean?
In the section labeled "Demand Fundamentals", what does the term "Relative Fundamental Ranking" mean?
In the section labeled "Demand Technicals", what does the term "Trading Zone" mean?
In the section labeled "Demand Technicals", what does the term "Technical Signal Age" mean?
What does it mean when a sector or industry is Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral?

ETF Analyzer

How does an ETF make the Top 50 ETFs?
How do you determine the scores of stocks?
Are the CycleProphet Advanced Tools successful when trading only ETFs?
On the ETF pages, there is no listing of Sectors and Industries. What do you use instead?

Watch List

How many watch lists can be created?
Is there a short cut to adding stocks to the watch list?

Glossary

Glossary Terms

Answers

General Subscription Questions


  • On new subscriptions with terms greater than 2 weeks, we have a 30 day cancellation window where you can get 100% of your money back.
  • On new subscriptions with terms less than or equal to 2 weeks, there is no refund on a cancellation.

  • If you are within a viable refund window, we will cancel your subscription immediately and you will no longer have access to the product.
  • If you are outside a refund window, then we will cancel any further renewals of your subscription. You will still have access to the product through the end of your current subscription timeframe.

  • All new subscriptions (from 6-15-2016 forward) will be automatically renewed until cancelled.
  • For subscriptions intiated prior to 6-16-2016, some may have automatic renewal and some may not. See your specific product for information.

If you are having difficulty logging into CycleProphet, it is likely because your password has been reset. This was required when we moved the website from Turner Trends to CycleProphet. Your password is encrypted and impossible for us to move it from the old website to the new one. We apologize for any inconvenience. To get access to CycleProphet and your subscription, you MUST reset your password (you can reset it to the password you had used previously, but you MUST go through the password reset process). Please execute the following steps:

  1. Please go to CycleProphet.com and click on the green "Log In" button located on the upper right of the screen, just below Mike Turner's picture.
  2. No need to enter Username or Password at this point. Click the "Forgot Password" link.
  3. Enter your Username or Email Address in the "Username/email" field. Then click the Get Password button.
  4. You will be sent an email with a link to reset your password. Click that link and follow the prompts to set your new password.
  5. If you do not receive an email then check your spam folder and/or whitelist cycleprophet.com. If you still do not receive the email, then contact us at support.
  6. Once you have updated your password, then return to CycleProphet.com. Click on the green "Log In" button and enter your Username and Password and click the grey log in button.
  7. After successfully logging in, you will be taken to your member profile page. You can access your products through the main menu items across the top.

Since we are a financial website, sometimes our emails get flagged as spam even though they are not. If you do not receive an email then check your spam folder and/or whitelist cycleprophet.com. Our emails should all be coming from the cycleprophet.com domain.

Home Page


There are navigation tabs at the top of the page. Move your cursor over the tabs and click on the menu items that drop down. You can go to the Equity Screener, Stock Analyzer, ETF Analyzer, Market Forecaster, and Strategies.

Market Forecaster


  • Black line - the price of the underlying ticker.
  • Pink line - the trend of the historical price leading up to the beginning of the actual forecast
  • Blue dotted line - the directional trend of the 90 day forecast.
  • Purple dashed lines - these represent 1/3 of the normal volatility of the underlying ticker. The lines are used to show the likely range for the next 90 days.
  • Green vertical line - indicates the initiation of a bullish trend
  • Red vertical line - indicates the initiation of a bearish trend

We do not consider a position just based on one tool. We like to see what the entirety of a stock is telling us before we enter into a trade. The fundamentals tell us what are good companies to own and the technicals tell us if a stock is trending in the direction we want. The forecasts help us determine when is the best time frame to enter or exit a trade.


The initial trend is accurate on average 65%-70% of the time. This is based on hundreds of thousands of 3 month studies on dozens of tickers including indexes and individual stocks.


We use ETFs as they are the investment vehicles that most individual investors use to replicate the performance of the underlying indexes.

Equity Forecaster


Each individual equity has a forecast. You can see these when you are viewing the stock or ETF. On the Technial Chart, there is a key. Within that key is a link 'Forecast'. Click that link and the forecast will be added to the technical chart.

Equity Screener


The columns are all sortable. Click on the "Total Score" column and the highest rated stocks and ETFs from your query will appear. Click on the "Total Score" again and the lowest rated stocks and ETFs from your query will appear.

Stock Analyzer


All of the stocks are ranked according to their total score (fundamental and technical). The Top 100 is a list of the 100 top ranking stocks.


The scores are determined by the CycleProphet Advanced Tools by looking at both the fundamentals and the technicals. The stocks are then scored using our proprietary system. The maximum score a stock can have is 200 (100 for fundamentals and 100 for technicals).


The Expected Move is the dollar amount that a stock can move and stay within its range of normal volatility. When stocks trade, they don't move higher in a straight line. The Expected Move represents the dollar amount that a stock can move against you and still be in an uptrend. Stated another way, the Expected Move represents one standard deviation of risk that each stock has.


The stop loss is calculated by taking the previous week's lowest low and subtracting the Expected Move. This calculation is done with every weekend update. As a stock moves higher in price, the stop loss will stair-step higher as well.


The Relative PE is the PE (price to earnings ratio) of every stock in the same industry. This is used to help determine which stocks are cheap or expensive compared to others in the same industry. This is done to compare stocks that have like characteristics.


Similar to the above question, this is a comparative measurement of stocks within the same industry.


We divide a stock's trading history into four zones. When stocks move between the zones, their trend direction tends to accelerate. This allows us to see which stocks are primed to move higher or lower depending on the trend and the movement between the zones.


The Technical Signal Age is the date that the stock first gave us a bullish signal (or bearish signal). The longer that the stock stays in the trend, the more likely it becomes that the stock will begin to experience a deceleration in the strength of the trend. The Technical Signal Age allows us to identify which stocks have a deceleration in the strength of their trends. The technical scores are lowered to reflect this condition.


The CycleProphet Advanced Tools look at every stock within a sector or within an industry and measure the movement of the average price. If the technicals are bullish, the signal will be Bullish. If the technicals are neutral, the signal will be Neutral, and if they are bearish, the signal will be Bearish. Keep in mind that this refers to the technical condition only of the sectors and industries. Sectors and industries do not have fundamentals. Only individual stocks can be measured using fundamentals.

ETF Analyzer


All of the ETFs are ranked according to their technical score. The Top 50 is a list of the 50 top ranking ETFs.


The scores are determined by the CycleProphet Advanced Tools by looking at the technicals. The ETFs are then scored using our proprietary system. The maximum score an ETF can have is 200.


Yes, the Advanced Tools works equally as well with ETFs as with individual stocks. It is important to understand that stocks have fundamentals and ETFs do not. We double the score of the technicals so that 200 is the highest score available. This way, you can compare the scores of stocks and ETFs easily.


There is currently no industry-wide classification system for ETFs. We place each ETF into two distinct categories. The ETF Industry Focus represents the major industry that the stocks comprising the ETF are a part of. The ETF Region Focus represents the geographic region of the world that the stocks comprising the ETF are a part of.

Watch List


There is no limit to the number of watch lists that can be created.


After creating a watch list, you can then search for stocks or ETFs using the Equity Screener. Once you have a list of the stocks and/or ETFs you want to put in the watch list, click on the box to the left of the ticker symbol, then scroll down to the bottom of the page and click on the name of the Watch List you want to save the stocks/ETFs into.

Glossary



Long stop loss is the stop price based on a long position in the equity
Short stop loss is the stop price based on a sort position in the equity
Expected move is the standard deviation of normal volatility for 5 trading days
PEM is the share price divided by EM which is measure of volatility where the lower the PEM value, the higher the volatility of the equity.

Disclaimers:

The information and content provided is for informational and/or educational purposes only. The information is not to be considered a recommendation or an offer of, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or to employ any investment strategy. Your decision to engage in any specific investment or investment strategy should be based solely on your own research and evaluation of the risks involved, your financial circumstances and your investment objectives

Market data is provided by yCharts. CycleProphet shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.